Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.436833 0.478669 0.524121 0.577409 0.638475 0.706633 0.788970
2025-08-24 0.362560 0.418987 0.485080 0.569199 0.674866 0.805222 0.981477
2025-08-31 0.317711 0.380115 0.456954 0.560450 0.699317 0.884024 1.157128
2025-09-07 0.292028 0.359180 0.445271 0.566816 0.739383 0.984797 1.379137
2025-09-14 0.266227 0.334308 0.424304 0.556085 0.751790 1.045827 1.553104
2025-09-21 0.248315 0.317632 0.411819 0.554424 0.775310 1.125187 1.773183
2025-09-28 0.228703 0.296672 0.390989 0.537541 0.772222 1.160204 1.922753
2025-10-05 0.222553 0.293747 0.395168 0.558022 0.830271 1.306612 2.322413
2025-10-12 0.215441 0.288703 0.395508 0.572125 0.879208 1.445860 2.754612
2025-10-19 0.206010 0.279465 0.388579 0.573441 0.905630 1.547313 3.138895
2025-10-26 0.194253 0.265929 0.373908 0.560235 0.903642 1.591229 3.398069
2025-11-02 0.183182 0.252748 0.358831 0.544839 0.895408 1.620308 3.629519
2025-11-09 0.173693 0.241746 0.346935 0.534716 0.897718 1.676764 3.977366
2025-11-16 0.165274 0.231987 0.336480 0.526363 0.902877 1.742178 4.392107
2025-11-23 0.157680 0.223078 0.326786 0.518419 0.907719 1.808090 4.848175
2025-11-30 0.153248 0.218914 0.324646 0.524127 0.941943 1.955224 5.698419
2025-12-07 0.146464 0.210585 0.314892 0.514491 0.941439 2.011954 6.234907
2025-12-14 0.141579 0.205086 0.309629 0.512998 0.958925 2.122605 7.103715
2025-12-21 0.134817 0.196175 0.297910 0.497822 0.942926 2.133952 7.509635
2025-12-28 0.133836 0.196769 0.302854 0.516231 1.008655 2.407774 9.619669
2026-01-04 0.131986 0.195789 0.304895 0.528890 1.062644 2.665158 12.075230
2026-01-11 0.128590 0.192005 0.301606 0.530071 1.087802 2.835246 14.253923
2026-01-18 0.123606 0.185283 0.292555 0.518218 1.077227 2.875232 15.459774